Originally posted by dollar at 29-8-2011 17:31
Bro your economics is correct, however, in economic terms; for each item you "consume" you have a marginal utility at the market price of 800RMB. The more you consume, your marginal utility gets lower. For normal goods, this is true. However, unlike "normal goods" the marginal utility for sex cannot be modeled as a linear function. For the desire of sex is composed of emotion and personal circumstances, but most of all the sex you consume each time is unique in the sense it may be a different WG offering a truely different experience (the good that you are consuming). So, such a non linear function must be modeled by the fourier series... thats when all hell breaks loose.
Mmm not sure it's so simple.
I guess you have to take into account the rise of unexcpected events, such as discovering of a great girl who will become a regular (return on investment increased with a linear decline upon the time/occurrences!) and the discovering of very bad girls (inverted effect, but if you are not masochist it just impact you one time, as a step function).
There is also the renewal of the market. On the long term, if the mark doesn't evolve enough, you know everything and get bored, your whole roi is impacted until say, you find a new great regular.
And the factor of experience, does it really play for or against you ? are you able to get more of it with your experience or are just a bit bored having seen too much.
Something like ....
EV = (Pn - Pc + Pg*E^2 - Ph*E^2)*P/E
Expected value = EV
Pc = probability of a nice punt
Pc = probability of a common, in a sad way (if it can be !), punt
Pg = probability of a great punt
Ph = probability of a horrible punt
E = experience, numbers of time you've done that, equals 1 for less than 10 girls, 2 for less than 20, 3 for less than 50, 4 if above
P = Price
Hypothesis :
- the amount of money is the same each time
- the money well spent is converted into value
- the more you do it the less it has effect for common or nice punt, so the less you have a return your money. UNLESS you get a great punt which annul the experience effect. OR it's a horrible punt and you have seen that too many times, it just sucks more (and so you end up getting even less value for your money).
This indicate that, over the long run, whatever the probabilities are, it is always profitable to optimise the opportunities of great punts and to try to avoid the worst ones.
Therefore, a reliable source of reports is a great improvement to the potential value of the punt.
I think I am going to sleep ...