Subject: can one catch STD from BBBJ?
DArtagnan (unofficial Mayor of the Forum)
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Post at 10-8-2009 09:57  Profile P.M. 
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Reply #12 simplytheguest's post

I THINK what you mean is there are two possible outcomes - you catch it, or you don't.

That's not how most people talk about 50/50 though.  Most people talk about 50/50 like tossing a coin: i.e. if you flip it (say) 100 times, you will get both heads and tails in roughly equal proportions, and the more times you flip it the closer the proportion will be.  

But if I understand your point, you are saying that the probability of the outcome is only part of the process of making a decision - which I agree.  The consequences of the outcome are also important.  Downside and upside can make even a long shot worth taking, or a dead cert best to avoid.  

BTW thx for the backhanded compliment ...




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Marsupial (Saint Marsupial)
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Post at 10-8-2009 11:59  Profile P.M. 
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Reply #21 DArtagnan's post

That was very well put DArtagnan. So yes, like everything else in life, you must weigh the likelihood that something will or will not happen against the inconvenience or lost pleasure from not doing it.

Should you give up a two week holiday sampling the pleasures of Thailand because the plane might go down in the South China Sea? It's true the plane either will or will not suffer some kind of mechanical failure, and the consequences of that happening would be fatal, but how many would think the risk too great to hazard the trip?

[ Last edited by  Marsupial at 11-8-2009 08:30 ]




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