Subject: betting tips to share
simplytheguest
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Post at 18-11-2008 12:41  Profile P.M. 
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betting tips to share

quite alot of us here like to gamble, and nothing beats visiting a working girl with winning money

any tips from bros, please share so that we can all win some money!

dont tip for the sake of it!

dont tip odds on favourite! i wouldnt want to risk 1000 to win 1000 or less! if i bet 1000, i want at least 3000 net profit back!
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kaka (YaYa PaPaYa)
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Post at 18-11-2008 17:18  Profile P.M. 
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i'm not a gambler ...
i'm also never lucky in casinos..

so no tips that i can offer.. but a little..

i have a sure win game... (for me)

Yu-Har-Hai (Fish-Prawn-Crab)
a very popular Chinese New Year game among Chinese friends and relatives.
it's just a piece a paper with 6 pictures..
bets are placed on the pictures.
dealer then throw dices with a different picture on each sides.
it's like a simplified Sic-Bo.

i played this for the past 5 years with my colleagues in the office.
i'm always the banker. (i insist!)
each bets usually only HK$5-20..
but after each session, for 5years in a row, i can walk away with an average of HK$5000+ profit..

i guess i'm super lucky with this Fish-Prawn-Crab thing..
coz i never win anything in casinos.
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paka
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Post at 18-11-2008 21:43  Profile P.M. 
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I play poker or BJ and Baccarat...no real skill lol.....

If I ever get a tip on any Horses thou I'll put it on this forum for everyone! hahaha

Cheers!
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Asslover
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Post at 19-11-2008 03:46  Profile P.M. 
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QUOTE:
Originally posted by kaka at 18-11-2008 17:18
i'm not a gambler ...
i'm also never lucky in casinos..

so no tips that i can offer.. but a little..

i have a sure win game... (for me)

Yu-Har-Hai (Fish-Prawn-Crab)
a very popular Chines ...

That's because you're the bank and the bank always wins in time (as long as you have the time & cash to survive the worse periods).
You lose at the casino simply because they are the bank and you're not. As a student I used to put up Black Jack tables and play bank at studentparties. Always went home with winnings as you are. Ofcourse you have to put on limits in bets and clear rules.

If you want to win money in casinos, there's no strategy. The most chance you have statistically is putting all your betting money at ONCE on red/black at roulette. Almost 50% chance on winning which is very high in a casino. At Bacara put it on Bank, more chance of winning, but have to pay tax. Sic Bo Big Small...stuff like that I think.
Play Texas Hold'em poker at casinos, you don't play the house...you play people. The house just rakes and they have a cap.
It's not about luck, it's a skill game. Many Macau casinos offer the game now. The quality of the
players are still below average in comparison to the West. Chinese still tend to gamble at the pokertable

[ Last edited by  Asslover at 19-11-2008 03:50 ]
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simplytheguest
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Post at 19-11-2008 07:56  Profile P.M. 
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scotland and wales both to win tomorrow night

both are outsiders but i think it will be a close game! with that said, backing them at 5/1 and 7/2 is alot better than to bet on denmark and argentina at odds on
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simplytheguest
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Post at 19-11-2008 08:21  Profile P.M. 
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Reply #2 kaka's post

thats like playing sic bo. just that instead of having numbers, you have pictures! you can play fish,prawn, crab and sic bo on the same table in macau
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kaka (YaYa PaPaYa)
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Post at 19-11-2008 10:41  Profile P.M. 
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Reply #4 Asslover's post



QUOTE:
Originally posted by Asslover at 19-11-2008 03:46
The quality of the players are still below average in comparison to the West. Chinese still tend to gamble at the pokertable...

below average? u should see how the Asians gamble at Venetians' Paiza Club or Crown VIP suites...
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Asslover
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Post at 19-11-2008 22:55  Profile P.M. 
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Reply #7 kaka's post

I'm talking about the quality of skill. Poker is a skill game. What I mean is that in my  humble opinion, pokerplayers in the west have mores skill. Asians, as you said, gamble too much. Which in turns makes you a bad pokerplayer. Every pokerplayer will agree that you can easily skin gamblers at the pokertable. Everyone is lucky once in a while, but no one is consistently lucky and that's where skill comes in. Texas Hold'em is relatively new in Macau, while there've been World Series since the beginning of Vegas. Chinese used to play the so called Showhand, which is 5-Card-Stud in the West...and abandoned long long time ago cuz it's too easy. Texas Hold'em No Limit is what they call the pure form of poker, The Cadillac of Poker (quoting Rounders). Asian crowd is new to this game. Ofcourse you have quality asian players like Johnny Chan (two times back to back World Champ), Scotty Nguyen,... but where do they play? That's right. Vegas.
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simplytheguest
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Post at 20-11-2008 09:53  Profile P.M. 
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2 tips given by me!

wales won at 7/2 or 4/1 with other bookmakers! hk bookies might have offered a higher price, i dunno!

however, scotland got beat 1-0! i did say it was goingto be a close game, even tho they were playing argentina!

so 1 win, 1 loss!

giving us a 2.5/3   point net profit margin!

had you risked 1000hk dollar on each bet, you would have gotten yourself a free fuck in macau

[ Last edited by  simplytheguest at 20-11-2008 11:29 ]
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simplytheguest
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Post at 21-11-2008 11:25  Profile P.M. 
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cant fucking believe this! i deleted everything i wrote by accident, and i cant be bothered to re write everything!

i was basically telling everyone to have a small win double on arsenal and fulham to both win this coming saturday!

odds are around 27/1
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Jake (The Snake: King of 141)
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Post at 21-11-2008 13:07  Profile P.M. 
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QUOTE:
Originally posted by kaka at 18/11/08 17:18
... i'm also never lucky in casinos ...

Bro, you can ALWAYS win at roulette. Just bet the 50-50 red or black. Each time you lose, double your money on the next bet.
Each time you win, pocket the winnings and start again. You can't lose - but it's kinda boring and you won't win much either. But
at least you can't lose - unless you hit a real losing streak and can't afford to double the last bet.




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simplytheguest
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Post at 21-11-2008 13:18  Profile P.M. 
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Reply #11 Jake's post

this strategy sounds great in theory, but its crap

no one knows why, but there always seem to be a long sequence of red or black or odd or even!

we are talking about 10+! (very often)

20+(quite often)

the longest sequence of a colour was recorded in monte carlo with a record of 28 straght blacks in a row

you start with 100 hkd and start doubling, you be down 700 only after losing 3 spins
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Jake (The Snake: King of 141)
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Post at 21-11-2008 14:12  Profile P.M. 
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Reply #12 simplytheguest's post

Yeah, well I did say you can't lose unless you hit a long losing streak and can't afford to double the bet.

But the fact remains that if you double the bet each time, then you can't lose. Most people lose because they lose their nerve.

And what are the odds on losing a 50-50 bet 10 times in a row? Very high, I would say. But of course, if you lose nine times in a
row, the odds are still 50-50 that you will lose the tenth time.

20 times in a row - quite often; I don't think so.  

But is there a better way to win at roulette?  




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happygoing
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Post at 21-11-2008 23:03  Profile P.M. 
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First of all, it is not 50/50 because of the zero in roulette

And NO NO NO don't play Martingale system (double after a lose) it won't works.
Even if it works, it is not worthy, please see:

http://wizardofodds.com/gambling/bettingsystems.html

Plus, even you can afford to bet, casino won't let you. Casinos are smart enough to set Max. limit
for a 25HKD roulette, outside bet is 100 min. Max, I think is 1000 HKD (? let's just say 2000 HKD)

5 loses, you are betting at 1600 HKD
6 loses ,you are betting at 3200 HKD
And you reach table max. already.  And it is far from 10 loses in a row.....

Sorry, but Martingale system really not working
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simplytheguest
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Post at 22-11-2008 10:18  Profile P.M. 
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Reply #13 Jake's post

a better way is to bet on 34 numbers!

say u bet 1 dollar on each number, and you win! you win 1 dollar

if you lose, you lose all, but you have a better chance of a winning sequence
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puffdaddy (Puff)
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Post at 22-11-2008 11:20  Profile P.M. 
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football.......

Man City v Arsenal 2-3 around 25/1

Aston Villa v Man Utd 0-2 around 7/1

Double!!

This may apply to UK only maybe....try an accumulator bet i.e.  for the above...a double scoreline but with 3 scores each

Both must win but your winnings depends on what score it comes in X stake money per line...

It cuts the odds to win in a normal double....

Stake is higher though for example.....correct me if i am wrong UK bros...

I think its something like that and the example is on 18 bets X stake money...better chance



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simplytheguest
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Post at 22-11-2008 11:28  Profile P.M. 
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Reply #16 puffdaddy's post

just stick with my arsenal and fulham 27/1 win double!

we  dont even need to predict the score as a fulham win against liverpool pays 9/1

liverpool are too defensive, and lack creativity! fulham will be playing defensive too so liverpool playing at home will be force to be more attacking! this will give fulham alot of counter attacking chance! they manage to beat tottenham 2-0, so a away win at liverpool isnt too much of a task to me!

i have a feeling newcastle will give chelsea some problems too!

you a graphic designer or something puff?
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puffdaddy (Puff)
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Post at 22-11-2008 11:43  Profile P.M. 
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Reply #17 simplytheguest's post

Hmmm...

Dont really do plain doubles bro......bland. Also if i am watching game then correct score makes better viewing

Liverpool NP i think as for Chelski.....both strong as usual also Newcastle no where near the team they were and Mr.Owen looks like a misfit in the squad. He deserves a better team but he is way past his prime imho...

Not graphic designer `porno-graphic designer`....

Nah...on the learning curve of PS & Gimp

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simplytheguest
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Post at 22-11-2008 11:54  Profile P.M. 
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Reply #18 puffdaddy's post

i guess you're the type that bets for fun

correct scoreline in football is tough!

anothr 12 hours to go till kick off! lets hope my predictions are right
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puffdaddy (Puff)
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Post at 22-11-2008 12:04  Profile P.M. 
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Reply #19 simplytheguest's post

Yep....

I use to do the `strike it rich` coupon one side 7 sections and 5 on the other...almost every week 5-6 years ago...

No BS....missed out on 2 occasions by 1 or 2 results respectivley.....

Accumulator way...not at heart-breaking..

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